Capability

Correlation

Correlate before you conclude.

Evidence levelE1Architecture Defined

The functional gap

Two observations that look alike are not yet one object. Joining them too early hides the doubt, and joining them never leaves the operator with two ghosts.

From inputs to outputs

Takes in

  • Observations that carry their source and time
  • The geometry each source can support
  • A test for whether two observations may belong together

Does

Proposes relationships between observations and tests them against time and geometry. A proposed relationship is a candidate, never a conclusion.

Hands on

  • Candidate relationships with their grounds
  • Observations left unrelated, stated as such
  • Input to fusion, with the doubt kept
Correlation: Data table
ItemValue
Observation AStage 1
Observation BStage 2
Observation CStage 3
Correlation RD04Data status: IllustrativeEvidence level: E0 · ConceptQuestion answered: How do observations become one candidate?Thin lines join three observations in turn, in three stages, until one candidate relationship is formed. Each stage is labelled, and nothing locks on.Limitation: A staged illustration of the idea of correlation, not of a tracking method.

A worked example

Three steps from a synthetic scenario, in relative terms.

A worked example Synthetic example
StepWhat is seenWhat is stated
1Two observations are close in timeA relationship is proposed
2Their geometry cannot both be trueThe proposal is withdrawn
3A third observation fits one of themThat pair stays a candidate
How relationships form: Data table
StageValue
1Observations
2Alignment
3Candidate link
4Supported state
5Evidence kept
How relationships form CH09Data status: IllustrativeEvidence level: E0 · ConceptQuestion answered: How do relationships form?Five steps, from separate observations to a supported state, show how a candidate relationship is formed, checked and then kept with its evidence.Limitation: A schematic of the logic, not of any particular system.

Confidence and uncertainty in this function

A relationship carries its own grounds, and those grounds are shown. A weak relationship is shown as weak and is not rounded up.

Evidence and maturity

This page claims nothing above the level of the projects it rests on.

What this does not claim

  • A candidate relationship is not proof that two observations are one object.
  • The tests describe the design and state no match rate.
  • Correlation prepares fusion; it never replaces it.

Projects behind this

Technology